Hot 100 - 4/05/08

[Till Da World Ends [MARK]]

Predictions?

[So What]

LOL! Kinda early for predictions, but I will make some soon.

[Mediasource]

Yeah, I'm not sure what I would predict yet.

[So What]

Well, well.. Look what the cat dragged in.

[So What]

Brown still No. 1, but for how much longer?

Chris Brown's With You is No. 1 for the fifth week on the national radio airplay audience chart, but it could relinquish that position as early as next week. Usher's Love in This Club parlays a big increase in audience into a move from No. 3 to No. 2, and if it continues to grow at its current rate and Brown's decline accelerates, Usher has a shot at No. 1 next week.

Flo Rida's Low drops to No. 3, according to Nielsen BDS, Arbitron and Radio & Records data, and Mariah Carey's Touch My Body holds at 4 but enjoys a substantial increase in audience. Sarah Bareilles (6-5) and Ray J (9-6) are also up strongly, followed by three declining songs, RIhanna's Don't Stop the Music, Timbaland & OneRepublic's Apologize and Alicia Keys' No One. Making its top 10 debut is No Air by Jordin Sparks with Chris Brown.

More detailed analysis follows.

> The annotated top 10:

1-1 last week Chris Brown, With You (down 6.8% in total audience): Took a substantial hit, losing nearly 10 million audience impressions this week.

2-3 Usher, Love in This Club (+15.9%): Gained audience at nearly the same rate as last week, which is remarkable this high on the chart. Added nearly 15 million audience impressions, putting it 27 million behind Brown. So if it can pick up 15 million more and Brown loses 12 million (unlikely but not impossible scenarios), it can take over next week. Probably a shoo-in for the week after, in any case.

3-2 Flo Rida, Low (-3.6%): Rallied a little, cutting its rate of audience evaporation in half, enough to stay ahead of Mariah for one more week.

4-4 Mariah Carey, Touch My Body (+10.7%): Will reach No. 2 shortly (unless Ray J catches it), but chances for a No. 1 seem to be diminishing every week.

5-6 Sara Bareilles, Love Song (+6.4%): Keeps on climbing, but now it's stuck behind Usher and Mariah with Ray J hot on its heels.

6-9 Ray J, Sexy Can I (+20.4%): Massive hit might even catch Mariah, though probably not next week.

7-5 Rihanna, Don't Stop the Music (-2.9%): Still in the slow-decline phase.

8-7 Timbaland & OneRepublic, Apologize (-1.6%): Permanently in the slow-decline phase -- every time it seems to be finally sliding (as during last week, when it dropped 7% in audience), it stabilizes again (as in this week, where it nearly held steady). It may never leave the top 10.

9-8 Alicia Keys, No One (-7.5%): Outlasts its follow-up (Like You'll Never See Me Again fell out of the top 10 this week, dropping to No. 12), but would seem headed out of the top 10 -- except that nothing seems ready to replace it.

10-17 Jordin Sparks, No Air (+15.1%): Exceeding her first hit and turning into a true American Idol airplay triumph (there aren't as many as you might think).

> Next week's top 10 contenders:

Thought about leaving this category blank, because the songs at Nos. 11-16 are all headed downward with substantial audience declines. Then you hit two songs experiencing minimal growth (Buckcherry's Sorry, 19-17, +1.1% in audience; Mario's Crying Out for Me, 20-18, +0.2%), followed by a couple of slow decliners, followed by Miley Cyrus' See You Again, which is up 24-21 but whose rate of audience increase slowed from 22.9% last week to 3.9% this week. Pretty hard to identify a top 10 contender out of that batch.

> This week's hottest songs:

Leona Lewis' Bleeding Love is the leader here, jumping 59-40 on the chart in its third week with a whopping 39.9% audience gain. Flo Rida's follow-up, Elevator, rises 78-58 in its second week with a 28.0% increase. Rascal Flatts' Every Day jumps 83-70 in week No. 2, increasing audience 24.9%. Colby O'Donis' What You Got is up 63-46 in its third week with a 23.7% audience gain. And Rick Ross' The Boss moves 47-35 in its fourth week with a 20.7% gain.

> This week's debuts on the top 100:

Madonna, enlisting Justin Timberlake's assistance for 4 Minutes (wonder what he charges?), achieves the highest debut of the week at an impressive No. 60. Brad Paisley's I'm Still a Guy enters at No. 79, Lil' Wayne's Lollipop comes in at 82, Ashanti returns at 87 with The Way That I Love You, and Michael Buble's Lost enters at No. 100.

[mrpink]

10-17 Jordin Sparks, No Air (+15.1%): Exceeding her first hit and turning into a true American Idol airplay triumph (there aren't as many as you might think)

[mrpink]

Digital Sales

BILLBOARD HOT DIGITAL SONGS - TOP 50
2 1 LEWIS*LEONA BLEEDING LOVE 219237 82 120461 537061
78 2 LIL WAYNE LOLLIPOP 142948 810 15714 158662
1 3 USHER LOVE IN THIS CLUB 138414 -5 145840 656799
3 4 SPARKS*JORDIN NO AIR 128745 16 110524 835236
6 5 RAY J FEAT YUNG BERG SEXY CAN I 121861 52 80294 451884
9 6 LIL' MAMA SHAWTY GET LOOSE 114637 58 72472 214163
4 7 BAREILLES*SARA LOVE SONG 108749 7 101813 1971622
12 8 ONEREPUBLIC STOP AND STARE 93645 45 64597 720777
16 9 NAIM*YAEL NEW SOUL 91593 81 50700 624190
7 10 RIHANNA DON'T STOP THE MUSIC 85065 6 80143 1520374
5 11 FLO RIDA LOW 83754 -9 91595 3399981
8 12 CYRUS*MILEY SEE YOU AGAIN 73729 1 72645 1065112
14 13 FLO RIDA ELEVATOR 69473 21 57452 373219
11 14 BROWN*CHRIS WITH YOU 65315 -4 68155 1321478
26 15 DANITY KANE DAMAGED 64542 107 31111 137788
13 16 FIASCO*LUPE SUPERSTAR 63338 7 59229 724910
15 17 WEBBIE INDEPENDENT 54727 7 50945 606845
17 18 TIMBALAND FEAT. ONEREPUBLIC APOLOGIZE 54294 11 49063 3280291
22 19 JONAS BROTHERS WHEN YOU LOOK ME IN THE EYES 49402 32 37526 455418
19 20 BUCKCHERRY SORRY 45369 7 42221 958093
-- 21 FLO RIDA ROLL 41740 999 0 41740
24 22 KINGSTON*SEAN TAKE YOU THERE 40323 14 35471 1292919
20 23 LINKIN PARK SHADOW OF THE DAY 37377 -7 40118 923824
27 24 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE ALL-AMERICAN GIRL 36351 17 31103 343979
30 25 SWIFT*TAYLOR OUR SONG 35706 18 30229 1234958
37 26 CAILLAT*COLBIE REALIZE 35502 25 28471 396459
55 27 BEDINGFIELD*NATASHA POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE 35436 74 20324 198939
29 28 LIFEHOUSE WHATEVER IT TAKES 35390 16 30451 354827
18 29 SNOOP DOGG SENSUAL SEDUCTION 35126 -27 48142 660984
36 30 THREE DAYS GRACE NEVER TOO LATE 35060 22 28670 728325
34 31 SPARKS*JORDIN TATTOO 34589 18 29275 1445334
25 32 SWIFT*TAYLOR TEARDROPS ON MY GUITAR 34582 6 32769 1594216
52 33 PANIC AT THE DISCO NINE IN THE AFTERNOON 34365 64 20932 193226
23 34 JANET FEEDBACK 32771 -10 36220 488976
28 35 KEYS*ALICIA NO ONE 32569 7 30525 2516516
31 36 SOULJA BOY TELL'EM YAHHH! 31286 4 30189 300675
33 37 MAYER*JOHN SAY 30898 4 29601 371976
39 38 FINGER ELEVEN PARALYZER 28973 13 25664 1983290
38 39 SOULJA BOY TELL'EM CRANK THAT (SOULJA BOY) 28811 10 26105 3491397
32 40 JEAN*WYCLEF FEAT. AKON, LIL SWEETEST GIRL (DOLLAR BILL) 28741 -3 29633 1327144
40 41 ROSS*RICK BOSS 27249 10 24803 120515
21 42 ABDUL*PAULA DANCE LIKE THERE'S NO TOMORROW 26975 -30 38684 215900
45 43 CAILLAT*COLBIE BUBBLY 26633 17 22726 2348973
48 44 SANTANA FEATURING CHAD KROEGER INTO THE NIGHT 26515 22 21694 980754
41 45 SPEARS*BRITNEY PIECE OF ME 26398 9 24202 962642
42 46 FERGIE CLUMSY 26050 9 23880 1655649
47 47 CHERISH KILLA 25924 19 21783 141345
61 48 BOYS LIKE GIRLS HERO/HEROINE 25438 37 18615 630485
-- 49 GNARLS BARKLEY GOING ON 25345 999 0 25345
35 50 PITBULL ANTHEM 24983 -13 28774 219543

A FEW BONUSES:
84 58 SPEARS*BRITNEY BREAK THE ICE 22472 50 14947 126577
-- 86 ADAMS*AMY THAT'S HOW YOU KNOW 16340 302 4060 143653
-- 99 GNARLS BARKLEY CRAZY 13821 162 5271 2298331
-- 113 MADONNA 4 MINUTES 12523 999 0 12523
-- 137 MERCY ME I CAN ONLY IMAGINE 10821 109 5175 589526

[Carriefan0209]

27 24 UNDERWOOD*CARRIE ALL-AMERICAN GIRL 36351 17 31103 343979

[Late Winter]

Where is she on The Hot 100?

[Carriefan0209]

she will probably be around top 30s. her airplay dropped alot

[Till Da World Ends [MARK]]

hopefully Break The Ice will be in the 50's

[So What]

So I guess Leona is gonna be #1 then right?

[Till Da World Ends [MARK]]

BILLBOARD HOT 100 - TOP 50
8 1 LEWIS*LEONA BLEEDING LOVE - SINGLE
1 2 USHER FEATURING YOU LOVE IN THIS CLUB
7 3 RAY J FEAT. YUNG BERG SEXY CAN I
2 4 CHRIS BROWN WITH YOU
4 5 SARA BAREILLES LOVE SONG
6 6 JORDIN SPARKS DUET NO AIR
3 7 FLO RIDA LOW/JEALOUS
5 8 RIHANNA DON'T STOP THE MUSIC (JODY DEN
85 9 LIL WAYNE FEATURING LOLLIPOP
19 10 LIL MAMA SHAWTY GET LOOSE
9 11 TIMBALAND/ONEREPUBLIC APOLOGIZE - SINGLE
16 12 ONEREPUBLIC STOP AND STARE
10 13 FIASCO*LUPE SUPERSTAR
11 14 MILEY CYRUS SEE YOU AGAIN
14 15 MARIAH CAREY TOUCH MY BODY - STILL BULLETED
12 16 WEBBIE, LIL' PHAT & INDEPENDENT
13 17 KEYS*ALICIA NO ONE
17 18 BUCKCHERRY SORRY
23 19 FLO RIDA FEATURING ELEVATOR
43 20 YAEL NAIM NEW SOUL
20 21 SEAN KINGSTON TAKE YOU THERE
22 22 TAYLOR SWIFT TEARDROPS ON MY GUITAR
15 23 SNOOP DOGG SENSUAL SEDUCTION
18 24 ALICIA KEYS LIKE YOU'LL NEVER SEE ME AGAIN
25 25 JORDIN SPARKS TATTOO
26 26 CAILLAT*COLBIE BUBBLY - SINGLE
64 27 DANITY KANE DAMAGED
21 28 LINKIN PARK SHADOW OF THE DAY
33 29 JONAS BROTHERS WHEN YOU LOOK ME IN THE EYES
28 30 CARRIE UNDERWOOD ALL-AMERICAN GIRL
29 31 FINGER ELEVEN PARALYZER
34 32 DAUGHTRY FEELS LIKE TONIGHT
24 33 J. HOLIDAY SUFFOCATE
31 34 FERGIE CLUMSY [FEAT. SOULJA BOY TELL
27 35 KEYSHIA COLE I REMEMBER
30 36 THE-DREAM FALSETTO
41 37 ROSS*RICK BOSS
32 38 SHAWTY LO DEY KNOW
39 39 TAYLOR SWIFT OUR SONG
48 40 TRACE ADKINS YOU'RE GONNA MISS THIS
35 41 MARIO CRYING OUT FOR ME
44 42 LIFEHOUSE WHATEVER IT TAKES
47 43 2 PISTOLS FEATURING SHE GOT IT
46 44 CHERISH FEATURING Y KILLA
37 45 FAT JOE I WON'T TELL
38 46 JEAN*WYCLEF SWEETEST GIRL (DOLLAR BILL)
36 47 PITBULL FEATURING L THE ANTHEM
42 48 ALAN JACKSON SMALL TOWN SOUTHERN MAN
57 49 COLBIE CAILLAT REALIZE
50 50 GEORGE STRAIT I SAW GOD TODAY

INTERESTING MOVES & DEBUTS
74 57 NATASHA BEDINGFIELD POCKETFUL OF SUNSHINE
71 59 BRITNEY SPEARS BREAK THE ICE
51 60 JACKSON*JANET FEEDBACK
-- 61 FLO RIDA FEATURING ROLL
76 63 PANIC AT THE DISCO NINE IN THE AFTERNOON
-- 68 MADONNA FEATURING J 4 MINUTES
79 73 ASHANTI THE WAY THAT I LOVE YOU
88 82 GAVIN DEGRAW IN LOVE WITH A GIRL
-- 84 FERRAS HOLLYWOOD'S NOT AMERICA
-- 88 GNARLS BARKLEY GOING ON
-- 92 ALY & AJ LIKE WHOA BUNDLE
-- 93 JEWEL STRONGER WOMAN
-- 96 NE-YO GO ON GIRL
-- 99 FLEX TE QUIERO

BUBBLING UNDER
-- 1 DANITY KANE LIGHTS OUT
7 3 JASON MRAZ I'M YOURS
22 5 DAY26 GOT ME GOING - SINGLE
-- 10 DANITY KANE FEATURI BAD GIRL
-- 11 AMY ADAMS THAT'S HOW YOU KNOW
-- 14 GNARLS BARKLEY RUN (I'M A NATURAL DISASTER)
-- 24 FERGIE FINALLY

R&B 100
1 1 KEYSHIA COLE I REMEMBER
6 2 USHER FEATURING YOU LOVE IN THIS CLUB
3 3 THE-DREAM FALSETTO
2 4 ALICIA KEYS LIKE YOU'LL NEVER SEE ME AGAIN
11 5 RAY J FEAT. YUNG BERG SEXY CAN I
9 6 MARIO CRYING OUT FOR ME
10 8 MARIAH CAREY TOUCH MY BODY
27 21 ASHANTI THE WAY THAT I LOVE YOU
65 45 MARY J. BLIGE STAY DOWN
55 47 JORDIN SPARKS DUET NO AIR

[Carriefan0209]

YES BLEEDING LOVE YES YES YES

[So What]

BUBBLING UNDER
-- 1 DANITY KANE LIGHTS OUT
-- 10 DANITY KANE FEATURI BAD GIRL

WOW! lol

8 1 LEWIS*LEONA BLEEDING LOVE - SINGLE

[Carriefan0209]

Im so happy. FINALLY A QUALITY SONG IS #1

[mrpink]

OMG!!!!!!!!!!!

That amazing!!!!!!!!! YAY!!!! Mariah watch yer back!! haha JUST KIDDING!

[wbs07]

THANKS!